[Update at 12.30pm - added the Long Term Industrial Chart at the end]

Okay if the dow goes much higher then it will jump out of my bear channel.  If we are really in a bear market, with the rise from last march being a Bear Market Rally, then the market needs to start going down now.  If it doesnt then i may have to buy some horns.

And a close up on the dow

As you can see, we hit the 78.6% retracement (from the Jan 19 decline) this morning.

And just in case you have not seen it before here is my Long term prediction.