Oil – there she blows?

  • October 18, 2009 4:50 pm

Oil is weird.  There is a glut of supply and declining demand and yet it continues to rise.  Now that should be proof that the value of Oil (and other commodities) has nothing to do with supply and demand – its all about speculation.  So is it going to continue to rise, or is it ready to fall?  My latest chart, of the USO, is:

Oil about me

Oil about me

Now this tells me that we right at 2 primary resistance levels (a fib and a major trend line).  If the USO can break through then its upto $50, if not then its down to $25.

The psychology of the Bull

  • October 11, 2009 5:45 pm

If you want to understand why people are still buying stocks with a market PE of 140 then look no further than the bull buying psychology chart:

 

bull trading

bull trading

So where are we now: I would say just pass 19 and also somewhere between around 4.   Enjoy….